{"id":2015,"date":"2010-01-16T14:23:06","date_gmt":"2010-01-16T14:23:06","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/2010\/01\/astonishing-chinese-transportation-growth\/"},"modified":"2010-01-16T14:23:06","modified_gmt":"2010-01-16T14:23:06","slug":"astonishing-chinese-transportation-growth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/2010\/01\/astonishing-chinese-transportation-growth\/","title":{"rendered":"Astonishing Chinese Transportation Growth"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class='posterous_autopost'>\n<div>The <a href=\"http:\/\/www.stats.gov.cn\/english\/\">Chinese National Bureau of Statistics<\/a> has a lot of interesting data. The world has never seen anything like this Chinese industrial machine. China is becoming increasingly car-centric, versus rail-centric. <\/div>\n<div>If present trends continue, the Chinese expressway system will likely grow larger than the US interstate highway system within the next couple of years, and Chinese car ownership will exceed US car ownership by somewhere in the neighborhood of 2017.&nbsp; So while the al-Shahristani plan for Iraqi oil production seems like it aims for an extraordinary increase in oil production in a hurry, it&#8217;s not at all hard to see where all that oil can go.<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Oversimplifying greatly, it&#8217;s as though the US borrowed a pile of money from China in order to fight a war to free up oil supply in Iraq in order that China could become the greatest industrial power the world has ever seen.<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Oh, and you can see why China wasn&#8217;t too keen to strike a deal in Copenhagen.<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Some excerpts: (<a href=\"http:\/\/www.theoildrum.com\/node\/6126\">full article here<\/a>)<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Millions of Chinese vehicles:<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/posterous.com\/getfile\/files.posterous.com\/nanophilosophy\/WalfjstjT5gxHEP6uAz1cr5T0KowRaR8DJDbKwgLzbvhDJrFSFaBkJRDW30P\/P24CA68DA.png\" width=\"400\" height=\"273\"\/> <\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Total passenger-kilometers by major mode:<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/posterous.com\/getfile\/files.posterous.com\/nanophilosophy\/n9sgLgpC0Zof7tKhzIoeSW4I5kH58zdWT0Ns4fUzfHZtzCvJyv8kb8RoNdyS\/P24CA68DA_1.png\" width=\"400\" height=\"272\"\/> <\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Ownership of private vehicles:<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/posterous.com\/getfile\/files.posterous.com\/nanophilosophy\/HuCecEULEpmSAxiwuFomwXsLn5DuTmcEKJPcMYYGgRpapIM0Q9KKeB2sxFHu\/P24CA68DA_2.png\" width=\"400\" height=\"273\"\/> <\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Over the twenty years 1987 to 2007, the compound annual growth rate was 30.8% in the private passenger vehicle ownership rate.&nbsp; That&#8217;s the average growth rate.&nbsp; And it&#8217;s not like there&#8217;s a sharp slowdown &#8211; 2006-2007 was over that twenty year average. In fact, if you take the decade 1997 to 2007 CAGR of 28.3% (!!), and project it forward then the Chinese vehicle fleet will surpass the US fleet by 2017 or so.<\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/posterous.com\/getfile\/files.posterous.com\/nanophilosophy\/WpOgSGD3qCAkqLeon8HG3gJVyzKflfYaRuoXJo0fKHdxiAJOg2vI8jxh2wyb\/P24CA68DA_3.png\" width=\"400\" height=\"273\"\/> <\/div>\n<p \/>\n<div>Wikipedia even has a nice map, with blue being expressways in existence, and red under construction or planned.<\/div>\n<div><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/posterous.com\/getfile\/files.posterous.com\/nanophilosophy\/L7VGXQbGmEMeDIrkBVfkwfWt6tE2qBtrAqnJOAVYoEQpJNLMMV6sN52jpNFo\/P24CA68DA_4.png\" width=\"400\" height=\"326\"\/> <\/div>\n<p \/>\n<p \/>\n<div>(from Stuart Staniford, originally posted in Stuart&#8217;s blog <a href=\"http:\/\/earlywarn.blogspot.com\/2010\/01\/chinese-transportation-growth.html\">Early Warning<\/a>.)<\/div>\n<p style=\"font-size: 10px;\">  <a href=\"http:\/\/posterous.com\">Posted via email<\/a>   from <a href=\"http:\/\/nanophilosophy.org\/astonishing-chinese-transportation-growth\">Preposterous Guru<\/a>  <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Chinese National Bureau of Statistics has a lot of interesting data. The world has never seen anything like this Chinese industrial machine. China is becoming increasingly car-centric, versus rail-centric. If present trends continue, the Chinese expressway system will likely grow larger than the US interstate highway system within the next couple of years, and [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":126,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[780],"class_list":["post-2015","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-funky-original","tag-funky-original"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2015","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/126"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2015"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2015\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2015"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2015"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/theothersideofeverything.com\/flip\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2015"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}